The first question. How do you identify whether this is a Hanging Man or a Hammer? Hammer and the Hanging Man both have a very small candle body accompanied by a long wick either on the bottom. If this type of pattern appears at the top of an uptrend with the long wick at the bottom, it is a Hanging Man. And if it appears at the bottom of an downtrend it is a Hammer.

Now, in most of the cases, you will also find a small wick on the top of the candle body. Now suppose, you find the Hammer or the Hanging Man. What you need is to look for the confirmation the next day!

If the opening price on the next day is less than the previous day’s close, you have a true Hanging Man. If not, then that was not a true Hanging Man. Now suppose, you think that you have spotted the Hanging Man in an uptrend. Wait for the confirmation the next day with the opening price.

A Hammer should have a very small candle body with a long wick at the bottom. Similarly suppose, you think that you have correctly spotted the Hammer in a downtrend. You should confirm this with the opening price on the next day. If the opening price is higher than the closing price the previous day, you have a true Hammer. If the opening price is not higher than the closing price the last day, it is not a true Hammer!

Whenever, you trade candlestick patterns, first spot them correctly than wait for the confirmation on the following day. The best chart for these candlestick patterns is the daily chart. Once, you get the confirmation, trade these patterns. They can be highly profitable. But in case, you don’t get the confirmation the next day with the price action, simply ignore the pattern as not true.

A Spinning Top is another candlestick pattern that reveals a tight battle between the bulls and the bears. Whenever, the battle between the bulls and the bears ends in a draw on a trading day, the following day, one side has to give in. When this happens an explosive move in one direction is highly likely.

How to identify a SPINNING TOP? A Spinning Top has a very small candle body in the middle with two equal wicks on the top and the bottom. This pattern appears very frequently in the daily charts and can be highly profitable if spotted correctly.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide! Download your FREE COPIES of the HVMM Ultimate Day Trading System and the Universal Risk & Money Management Tool!

Trading in energy futures is centralized at the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange. NYMEX trades futures and options contracts for crude oil, natural gas, heating oil, gasoline, coal, electricity and propane. NYMEX is also home to trading in metals. Trading in NYMEX is conducted in two divisions: 1) The NYMEX Division and 2) The COMEX Division. For smaller traders NYMEX offers e-mini contracts for oil and natural gas that also trades on the GLOBEX network of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).

For smaller traders NYMEX offers e-mini contracts for oil and natural gas that also trades on the GLOBEX network of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Trading in NYMEX is conducted in two divisions: 1) The NYMEX Division and 2) The COMEX Division.

Sometimes the rise in oil prices leads to the increase in interest rates through the bond market and the actions of central banks and the other times the opposite happens. Rise in oil prices if often inflationary. As a trader, you should know this fact that oil price rise often tends to slow down the economy and lower retail sales as well as consumer confidence with lower traffic on the highways.

High oil prices are considered to be inflationary and tend to slow down the economy. Low oil prices are always considered good for the economy. As a trader, you should know this fact that oil price rise often tends to slow down the economy and lower retail sales as well as consumer confidence with lower traffic on the highways. Sometimes the rise in oil prices leads to the increase in interest rates through the bond market and the actions of central banks and the other times the opposite happens. Rise in oil prices if often inflationary. Now all these effects have a time lag factor built in them. If the crude oil prices increase or jump suddenly like that in’73, it takes time for the increased oil prices to start affecting the other factors in the economy.

No new major discovery of an oil well has been made in the past two decades. This means that the supply of oil is dwindling while the global demand for oil is on the rise. Now you need to understand the Peak Oil Concept. Peak oil is the concept that the world oil production has peaked and the production of oil will never be as high again. Oil prices and the interest rates generally move in the same direction when viewed over long periods of time.

In any case, most of the experts now agree that in the next 10-20 years, the oil production will peak and after that it will start declining. Now you should keep these facts in the background of your mind as a trader.

Now this means that in the short run, following oil prices can be a highly profitable strategy. Your aim as a trader is to make quick profits by trading the price fluctuations in the oil market. So the important facts that you need to keep in the back of your mind while trading oil is: 1) Demand fluctuates but supply of oil is finite. 2) The world runs on oil and any threat to the supply of oil often leads to rising prices. As an oil trader your primary goal is to consider the effects of events on the supply of oil and correlate this effect with your charts.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Trade Dow Futures . Learn Commodity Trading ! Visit the Uber Article Directory to get a totally unique version of this article for reprint.

Futures commodity trading, as we know it today, came about for the first time in Japan in the 17th century, where rice was traded in future contracts. It was a period when farmers and buyers came together and decided to commit to each other future prices negotiated on suitable terms in exchange of grain for money. For example, a dealer would agree to buy a ton of rice at the end of the next month for a certain price from a farmer. This would be ideal for both parties, as the farmer would know how much he would get for his rice in advance, and the buyer could plan to raise the money he needed for the purchase. Contracts such as these became more and more popular and common, and were even used as collateral for taking loans. If the buyer could not take delivery of the rice, he could sell the contract to someone else. On the other hand, if the farmer could not deliver the goods, then he could hand over the contract to another farmer. Thus began commodity futures trading, as we know it today.

What Are Commodity Futures?

Today, most of the futures commodity trading exchange are set up in a similar way. Members of the exchange do the actual trading on the floor. Stock stands for equity in a public company, and can be held as long as you want whereas commodity futures trading contracts have a specified life. In the past, generally people used commodity futures trading methods to hedge risks and fluctuation in prices, or to take advantage of them, and not for actually buying into the commodity. The idea is that a contract requires delivery of a commodity within a certain predefined time period unless it becomes null and void. The person buying the commodity futures trading contract agrees to buy the specified commodity at a fixed price on a certain date. The person selling the commodity futures trading contract agrees to sell the commodity at a certain price on a certain date. As time goes on, the contract price fluctuates, and this brings about profit and loss in the trade. It is to be noted, however that, the delivery generally doesn’t take place. The contract is usually liquidated before its expiry. The entire trade is based on the idea that there will be no delivery, but we can speculate on the price of the underlying commodity at a future time to make money. Commodity futures trading and futures options trading is done all over the world now.

Different Types Of Commodities

There are many types of commodities that are traded in the international market.These can be broadly categorized into the following:

Precious metals like Gold, Platinum, Silver, etc.,
Metals such as Aluminum, Copper, Steel, etc.,
Agricultural products like Rice, Corn, Oils, Cotton, Wheat, etc.,
Soft commodities such as Cocoa, Coffee, Tea, Sugar, etc.,
Livestock like potbellies, cattle, etc.,
Energy commodities like Crude oil, Gasoline, Gas, etc.

If we include forex markets, it has been noted that volumes for futures
trading is far more (or many times over) than those of equity markets in
the US. This goes to show us the amount of interest that futures trading generates worldwide.

Momentum Day Trading

A good momentum trader would wake up early in the morning reading up on the news that may have affected existing trades, or new ones generated the previous day by his system. Momentum traders use online trading platforms more often as it gives them the power of speedy trading. These platforms also provide the latest market news and picks for the trading period. Commodities that have shown very large volume growth with an increase in momentum recently are ideal candidates for the next few trades. Business channels often blare out the latest commodity market updates live and traders gather as much information as they can to help them determine which trades they are going to take.

Momentum traders use charts regularly to determine trends and momentum picks.

Momentum Trading With Charts

A good momentum trader picks trades by using key indicators which usually includes the momentum indicator. This indicator analyzes actual total changes in a commodities closing price over a predefined amount of time while comparing its traded volumes. These are what will tell the trader whether he can shortlist the commodity or not. Once the trader has picked out the trades that match his criteria of being in momentum, the chart for the commodity is pulled up and analyzed. Here, re-confirmation of a trend and momentum are established in different timeframes for the same commodity. When a breakout is confirmed either up or down, then the order to buy or sell the commodity futures is placed. As soon as this order is executed, the disciplined momentum trader immediately places a stop order limiting his loss to a certain fixed amount, which is determined by his trading system.

If he is correct, the commodity will move in momentum, and breakout of its range. If it does so, and the trader keeps investing the money on this particular trade, he will maintain a keen eye on his technical indicators and oscillators for any exhaustion signals. When he gets an exhaustion signal, or when his target is reached, he will place an order to close the trade. While his trade moves in momentum, he will also move his stop up slowly to make sure he locks in some gains every time the trade responds in his favor. This is called a trailing stop. Of course, he will be stopped out if he is wrong.

Thus, a momentum trader essentially uses momentum indicators to trade possible breakouts in futures or futures options, which are showing momentum according to the trading system on the charts. However, to be a good momentum trader, discipline and hard work is necessary.

The Basics

When you trade in commodity futures, you dont actually buy something. Instead you buy its future contract purely on the assumption that the price of the commodity is likely to move upward in the immediate future before the expiry of the contract. You buy to gain profit from this increase in price. For example, if you buy gold futures at $650 now, and the price at the expiry of the contract is $660, you would have made $10 on the commodity futures contract without actually trading in or buying any gold.

People choose to trade in commodity futures and futures options because it offers them an opportunity to get very large leverage on their invested capital. If, for example, you had about $20,000 you would be able to buy an S & P 500 stock future of the index. The same in actual equity stock could cost you $350,000. So, you get leverage of 17 times on your $20,000 if you invest in futures. This has huge ramifications where return on investment is concerned. If you make $20,000 dollars on an upward trend on this contract, you would have ended up with a 100% profit on your investment! This is as opposed to investing in actual stock worth $350,000 and getting $20,000 as return on investment. Puts things in perspective, doesnt it?

What Are The Risks Involved?

However its not all roses out there or everyone would be trading and doing nothing else. The truth is that there are many inherent risks in doing commodity futures trading too. The key is the risk to reward ratio. A lot of people are not as concerned about the return on their money as they are of their invested money returning. Greater the risk, the greater is the return. If youre wrong, you lose just a few thousand dollars trading carefully over a long period of time, but if you dont have the luxury of patience, you may lose a fortune quickly in just a few large trades.

Hence, one must remember that there is a huge risk of loss in commodity futures trading. To limit this loss, people use what is known as a stop or a stoploss. These are orders placed to square off your position if it turns against you in any trade to limit your loss. These are considered an essential part of futures trading, as you never know what unforeseen event lurks ahead that has the potential to wipe out a large chunk of your invested capital. To make money, one has to accept that you will lose money also. If you have a good trading system, and use stops in your trades, you are sure to succeed over time.

Sometimes markets move so fast that your stop loss will not be hit. This is due to the broker not being able to trade the market for you because of these limit moves. It is for this reason, many only choose futures options.

Commodity futures hold immense potential in making for you huge amounts of money. However, one needs to be careful, and invest funds wisely and with patience.

These types of transactions are never offered on the usual stock market but you would find them on what is commonly known as the futures exchange. They are not considered to be securities in the strictest sense of the word as stocks or bonds may be. They are a type of derivative.A futures options contract or a commodity option is a derivative as well.

The actual prices associated with the various commodities vary according to the supply and demand. If the pork belly crop is bad this year the prices will likely be high while an over abundance of coco would result in a lower than normal price. The future date is known as the delivery date while the daily bid on the exchange would be the settlement price.

In a nutshell in futures trading, what a contract states is that the holder can take delivery of the commodity at some future date however the futures must be complied with by the settlement date. At the settlement date the seller will deliver the asset to the buyer whether it is coco or pork bellies or whatever. In order to fulfill your obligation prior to the established settlement date you must offset your position by selling if you purchased the futures or buying back if you had a previous short position which ultimately allows you to balance everything out.

An interesting side note here is that if you purchased a futures contract and do nothing and the settlement date arrives you could end up with a yard full of assets that you really did not want. Unlike stocks and bonds we are talking real time products here.

Though futures options are quite risky investments that can only be understood by expert traders options can be very useful to the individual investor as well.

Futures Options can also add value to your portfolio and have several other advantages that are definitely worth noting. A few are outlined below and will help illustrate reasons why options have gained so much popularity in such a relatively short period of time.

The first advantage of options on futures is that they can provide increased cost efficiency. Since they possess great leveraging power, you the investor can obtain a great option position that nearly mimic a futures position but save you unnecessary cost.

The second advantage is that they provide less risk when used correctly. While there are situations where buying options is actually riskier than owning the futures, but they can also be used to reduce the amount of risk incurred. Futures options can be less risky because they require less financial commitment than equities. They are also the most dependable form of hedge which makes them safer than stocks.

The third advantage of futures options is they provide higher potential for returns. This means you can spend a lot less and make nearly the same profit as you would with the underlying futures. This gives you a higher percentage return.

The fourth and final advantage discussed in this article pertains to the strategic alternatives futures options can provide. Options are a very flexible tool and provide many ways to recreate other positions. These positions are known as synthetics. Synthetic positions provide you the investor multiple methods of attaining the same investment goals which can prove extremely useful.

The four points outlined above are the key advantages futures options offer and are a contributing factor to their growing popularity. If used correctly, they can present less risk than straight futures and can actually save you unnecessary costs while providing you the same profit. This is important to consider when selecting a type of investment. You want to get the most out of your money and futures options provide several ways of making this happen. Take the time to review this information before ever making a buying decision. Make sure you understand how you may benefit from the decision you make and what it will mean for you in monetary terms.

Before you decide on a particular investment, consider the key advantages and weigh the risks of each possibility against what you are willing to lose. Be sure you understand how to correctly utilize futures options in order to get the most out of them. You are investing for your future so think wisely and choose carefully. The more you know, the closer youll be to a more secure and prosperous future.

Technical Analysis Defined

The process of determining the condition of a commodity (based on the historic price) with the help of charting is called Technical Analysis. It combines probability mathematics and statistical information to determine the future price movement of a commodity with probability on your side. For example, if someone were to walk up to a door, and you were told to guess which direction they would go left or right, whatever you chose, it would be speculation. On the other hand, if they went left, and you followed them, that would be called trend following. Similarly, if a commodity future moves in a direction and you use TA to guide you, you can buy it after it shows a move into a certain direction, and a trend has been confirmed.

Uses Of Technical Analysis

There are many ways TA helps traders in trading futures options and commodities. The primary principle in TA is to have the ability to follow trends. To be able to do this, one has to be able to catch it early enough. So, you can buy into a commodity if you can confirm that it is in an uptrend. The key point to remember is that TA assumes that price discounts everything.

All movements of market participants are reflected in the price of any commodity at any given point in time. The idea is to buy low and sell high, or vice versa. This sounds simple in theory, but is difficult enough in real life. Imagine knowing that the probability of a commodity will breakout on the upside, but also that it is only a probability, and not a surety.

How Do We Use Technical Analysis?

TA has many different theories. These include common theories and indicators such as moving averages, Fibonacci series, oscillators, Gann Trading theory, Elliot wave theory, and the age-old Candlestick theory from Japan. Many users tend to combine one or more of these theories to get better accuracy in determining the trend more correctly in their favor. One has to remember that probability must to be on our side.

The risk to reward ratio should always be in our favor. A lot of people use TA to help them establish a trend, get the point of a breakout and look for a point to buy or sell a commodity. They also use it to determine their stop-loss, and possible target price. This is an advantage that TA has over any other form of analysis. Being mathematical in nature, it gives you exact figures as to what levels you need to enter and exit a commodity.

Technical Analysis is a powerful tool that needs to be executed with care and discipline. It provides the right foundation you need to determine the price trend of a commodity with more accuracy.

A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a specific quantity of a commodity at a certain price in the future. Such contracts are available with commodities such as crude oil, gold and natural gas. They may also be bought for agricultural products such as cattle or corn.

Many who participate in the futures markets are commercial or institutional users of the commodities they actually trade. They may then use these markets to take a position that reduces the risk of financial loss when a price change occurs. Individuals who choose to participate are speculators hoping to profit from the price of the futures contract. They usually choose to close out their positions before the contract is due, thus not accepting actual delivery of the particular commodity.

If you decide to invest in a futures contract or future option you will need to open a brokerage account if your broker does not trade futures. You will also be required to fill out a form that acknowledges your understanding of the risks associated with this type of trading. The contract for each commodity requires a minimum deposit that will vary with each specific product. This deposit amount depends on the broker and the value of your account will either increase or decrease with the contract value. If the contract value decreases, you will be subject to a margin call and will then need to place more money in your account in order to keep the position open. Because of the huge amounts of leverage, you can receive huge returns or suffer large losses just from small movements in price. This means a futures account can literally double or be wiped out in only minutes.

Most futures contracts also have options that are associated with them. These futures options still let you invest in the futures contract by, but limit any loss you may incur to the options cost. Since options are derivatives, they usually do not move point-for-point with the futures contract.

There are, however, advantages to buying futures contracts. One is that the leverage they provide allows for large profits for those who are on the right side of the trade. Another is minimum-deposit accounts control full size contracts an individual investor ordinarily would not be able to afford.

Before investing in a futures contract make sure you understand the risk involved. Know, too, that there are significant advantages like the ones mentioned above that can make these contracts very profitable for you.

The Gann Square of Nine is most often used to confirm the significance of highs and lows in terms of stocks, commodities and other types of investments. Imagine being able to predict when to buy a particular stock and how much to pay. The Gann Square of Nine makes this not only possible, but also a reality that has worked for many investors over the past century.

It is important to note here that Gann Square of Nine should never be used to choose tops and bottoms when selecting stocks, but it can be utilized to provide additional information to confirm how significant a recent high or low point in the market was when a break in a trend occurs. Gann Square of Nine is similar in shape and concept to a wheel or circle, and is often also referred to as the Gann Wheel.

It starts with the number 1 in the center and radiates out to the first square of nine. This begins with the number 2or number 1 to the left of the center, it then spirals clockwise to the number 9 in order to form its first rotation around the square of nine. This rotation then shifts one unit to the left of nine and the next rotation begins at the number 10. It then continues its spiral to the number 20 and so on.

Here is a picture of the Gann Square of nine:
http://www.stock-commodity-trading.com/gannsquare.gif

The Gann Square of Nine is a time and price calculator that figures the square root of numbers, both odd and even and their midpoints as well. It also seeks time and price alignments from a specified starting point or price level. One example of this would be a significant high or low point in a given market.

If you look at the numbers that appear on the grid that run down to the bottom left corner on the Gann Square of Nine, you will find them to be the square root of odd numbers. An example of this would be 5×5 = 25. On the other hand, you look at the numbers that run up to the top right corner on the Gann Square of Nine, you will find they are the square root of even numbers. An example of this is 4×4 = 16.

The numbers that run down to the bottom right corner will show you the midpoint between the squares of odd and even numbers. Lets use the numbers 25 and 16 mentioned above to illustrate this. Here, the number 21 would represent their midpoint because it falls exactly between them.

The Gann Square of Nine is an arrangement of numbers with a specific order and a used in a number of ways. Further review of Gann Square of Nine will show you how it works and illustrate its usefulness in determining market highs and lows.